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FA Cup predictions, odds and best bets: Plymouth vs Liverpool, Villa vs Tottenham

Our tipster Jones Knows previews the best of the FA Cup fourth-round action

FA Cup

Our betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight as he analyses the weekend's FA Cup fourth-round action.

Plymouth vs Liverpool, Sunday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6!

Those who think Liverpool are the best team in England should consider backing them to win the FA Cup outright when you assess how the market is shaping up. Arne Slot's men are 4/1 second favourites with Sky Bet, with Manchester City priced up as the market leaders - that makes little sense.

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Highlights from the Carabao Cup semi-final second leg between Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur

This should not prove too much of a problem for the Reds based on Plymouth's current form of winning one of their last 16 Championship matches. An away win with under 3.5 goals thrown into the mix at 6/5 with Sky Bet looks the play.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2

Aston Villa vs Tottenham, Sunday 5.35pm - PLAY SUPER 6!

Aston Villa are an easy team to score against, especially without Pau Torres. He is a huge miss and I'm always wary of trusting them without him.

The data points to the Spanish defender being a massive player for them.

Since the start of last season, in 51 games with him, Villa's win percentage is at 58 per cent and they have conceded 1.3 goals per game. Without him, across a sample size of 22 games, their win percentage drops to 35 per cent and they are conceding 2.1 goals per game. In total, their percentage drops 23 per cent without him and they concede 0.8 more goals.

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Of course, football is a low scoring sport so that goals conceded number is a red flag when it comes to backing Villa in this spot. This is a more important match for Spurs and they are the bet to qualify at 7/4 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Jones Knows' Profit & Loss record 24/25

Best Bet singles (1 unit) Best Bet multiples Total P+L
Matchday One -2.10 -1 -3.10
Matchday Two +1 -1 -3.10
Matchday Three -3.00 -1 -7.10
Matchday Four +3.90 +11 +7.80
Matchday Five -2 -1 +4.80
Matchday Six -1 -1 +2.80
Matchday Seven 0 -1 +1.80
Matchday Eight -3 0 -2.80
Matchday Nine +1 0 -1.80
Matchday 10 +2.38 -1 -0.42
Matchday 11 +1.4 +5 +5.98
Matchday 12 0 -1 +4.98
Matchday 13 -2 -0.5 +2.48
Matchday 14 0 -1 +1.48
Matchday 15 -1 -1 -0.52
Matchday 16 -1 -1 -2.52
Matchday 17 +2 -1 -1.52
Matchday 18 -1 -1 -3.52
Matchday 19 +3.5 -1 -1.02
Matchday 20 +3 -1 +0.98
Matchday 21 +1 0 +1.98
Matchday 22 -2 0 -0.02
Matchday 23 -3 0 -3.02
Matchday 24 0 -1 -4.02
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