FA Cup predictions, odds and best bets: Plymouth vs Liverpool, Villa vs Tottenham
Our tipster Jones Knows previews the best of the FA Cup fourth-round action
Monday 10 February 2025 12:12, UK
Our betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight as he analyses the weekend's FA Cup fourth-round action.
Plymouth vs Liverpool, Sunday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6!
Those who think Liverpool are the best team in England should consider backing them to win the FA Cup outright when you assess how the market is shaping up. Arne Slot's men are 4/1 second favourites with Sky Bet, with Manchester City priced up as the market leaders - that makes little sense.
This should not prove too much of a problem for the Reds based on Plymouth's current form of winning one of their last 16 Championship matches. An away win with under 3.5 goals thrown into the mix at 6/5 with Sky Bet looks the play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2
Aston Villa vs Tottenham, Sunday 5.35pm - PLAY SUPER 6!
Aston Villa are an easy team to score against, especially without Pau Torres. He is a huge miss and I'm always wary of trusting them without him.
The data points to the Spanish defender being a massive player for them.
Since the start of last season, in 51 games with him, Villa's win percentage is at 58 per cent and they have conceded 1.3 goals per game. Without him, across a sample size of 22 games, their win percentage drops to 35 per cent and they are conceding 2.1 goals per game. In total, their percentage drops 23 per cent without him and they concede 0.8 more goals.
Of course, football is a low scoring sport so that goals conceded number is a red flag when it comes to backing Villa in this spot. This is a more important match for Spurs and they are the bet to qualify at 7/4 with Sky Bet.
