Man City midfielder Ilkay Gundogan passed fit; There is no respite for Leeds with none of the players who missed Saturday's narrow defeat at Chelsea available to return; watch free match highlights on Sky Sports digital platforms and YouTube channel shortly after full-time
Tuesday 14 December 2021 19:56, UK
Team news, stats and prediction ahead of Man City vs Leeds in the Premier League on Tuesday (kick-off 8pm).
Manchester City midfielder Ilkay Gundogan has been passed fit for the champions' home clash with Leeds on Tuesday.
The German was withdrawn early in the second half of Saturday's victory over Wolves with a back complaint.
Ferran Torres, who is expected to be out until January with a broken metatarsal, is City's only notable absentee.
Manchester City provisional squad: Ederson, Steffen, Carson, Walker, Cancelo, Stones, Dias, Laporte, Ake, Zinchenko, Gundogan, Fernandinho, Rodri, De Bruyne, Foden, Grealish, Sterling, Silva, Mahrez, Palmer, McAtee, Jesus.
There is no respite for Leeds boss Marcelo Bielsa with none of the players who missed Saturday's narrow defeat at Chelsea available to return at the Etihad Stadium.
Kalvin Phillips, Liam Cooper and Patrick Bamford all missed the trip to Stamford Bridge with hamstring injuries they sustained in the previous week's draw with Brentford.
Pascal Struijk, Robin Koch and Rodrigo are also still sidelined with Bielsa remaining coy on precisely how long each player is expected to remain unavailable.
Leeds provisional squad: Meslier, Llorente, Dallas, Ayling, Firpo, Forshaw, Klich, Harrison, Raphinha, James, Gelhardt, Roberts, Klaesson, Cresswell, McCarron, Jenkins, Drameh, Greenwood.
Follow Man City vs Leeds in our dedicated live match blog. Highlights will also be published on the Sky Sports digital platforms and the Sky Sports Football YouTube channel shortly after full-time.
Those taking the 1/9 with Sky Bet on a Manchester City win, I've got some advice for you: football betting probably isn't for you.
Meanwhile, the 22/1 with Sky Bet for a Leeds win is simply too huge to ignore.
Remember, Pep Guardiola's men failed to beat Leeds last season in their two meetings, drawing 1-1 at Elland Road and losing 2-1 at The Etihad Stadium.
Goals aren't exactly flowing for City, either.
Chance creation numbers and expected goals are hitting their usual levels but three of their last four Premier League wins have come by a one-goal winning margin. In that period, their 10.77 per cent conversion rate in front of goal (excluding penalties) is the seventh worst in the Premier League. Granted, that is a small sample size and their quality can outgun a team at any point but their inability to kill teams off, in the style of Liverpool, could be a narrative to consider over the next few weeks.
Leeds arrive in good heart, too, having given Chelsea a proper scare at Stamford Bridge on Saturday.
If it wasn't for two silly challenges inside the penalty area, they could have left with three points. Chelsea created a non-penalty expected goal figure of just 1.2, highlighting how surprisingly organised Leeds were even without Kalvin Phillips.
That bodes well for this game, as does their attacking process which looks among one of the best in the Premier League on current form. Only Chelsea, Man City, Liverpool and Manchester United have a higher expected goal figure over the past three games.
With such a skewed market towards a City win, there is an array of options to get Leeds on our side from a betting perspective.The 11/2 for Leeds to draw or win looks overpriced. Also, Leeds with a +3 goal handicap, meaning they can win, draw, lose by one or lose by two at 8/11 with Sky Bet is an odds-on shot that looks a winner in waiting.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
BETTING ANGLE: Leeds to beat Manchester City (22/1 with Sky Bet)
