Watch Burnley vs Tottenham live on Sky Sports
Sunday 25 October 2020 18:47, UK
Our betting expert 'Jones Knows' makes his Premier League predictions to find some angles to consider for the weekend action.
I'd be worried for West Brom's defence through the middle in this one.
Branislav Ivanovic coped relatively well on his Premier League comeback against the brutish Burnley attack but will face a completely different test up against Neal Maupay, Aaron Connolly and Leandro Trossard. At 36, he may lack the pace to stop a talented Brighton front-line. Plus, West Brom have yet to register an expected goal figure above 1.00 in any of their first five games. This looks a straightforward home win if Brighton turn up.
An angle to note is the likely match-up between Grady Diangana and Tariq Lamptey as the West Brom man is the most fouled player in the Premier League this season. Lamptey isn't afraid of a challenge, shown by his 11 fouls conceded this season which is the fourth most in the league. The 4/1 on him to be booked looks juicy.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 3-1 (12/1 with Sky Bet)
ALSO LOOK OUT FOR: Tariq Lamptey to get booked at 4/1 with Sky Bet
Burnley have started the season slowly, but their performance metrics are still similar to last season where they were a solid mid-table team. Defensively, there has been encouragement for Sean Dyche's men - only three teams have faced lower expected goals in the Premier League, while they are top for duels won and aerial duels won.
The problem for them this Monday will be the current form of Harry Kane, who performed like the best striker in world football against West Ham. Kane has seven goals in eight Premier League appearances against Burnley - it's hard to see Dyche's men stopping him.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-2 (13/2 with Sky Bet)
