Premier League Predictions and best bets: Fulham to shock Arsenal, Chelsea to win at Spurs?
Watch Fulham vs Arsenal, Chelsea vs Tottenham & West Ham vs Wolves live on Sky Sports
Sunday 8 December 2024 20:16, UK
Our football betting expert Jones Knows is back to provide more Premier League insight ahead of Sunday's games.
Fulham vs Arsenal, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
When the schedule becomes as intense as it is now, shock results happen.
This looks the candidate for such a scenario on Super Sunday, where Arsenal are easily swerved for many reasons at 8/15 with Sky Bet. Looking back over the past few seasons at this time of year when a weekend fixture follows a midweek game, the Gunners have suffered defeats to Everton twice, were beaten at Aston Villa and drew 1-1 with Southampton.
Fulham are a serious team who are having a fine season under Marco Silva.
Live Super Sunday
They've won the expected-goals battle in 13 of their last 15 matches, including against Tottenham, Manchester City and Aston Villa. This shows Fulham are putting in consistent performances, are restricting teams with their defensive process and creating good chances at the other end. That makes them look a huge price on the draw no bet with Sky Bet at 100/30.
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SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Leicester vs Brighton, Sunday 2pm
Being lucky is a key part of life - and Ruud van Nistelrooy is getting his fair share of it. Not only has he landed himself a Premier League job by being at the right place at the right time, but he also somehow managed to win a game of football by two goals despite losing the shot count 8-31 and expected-goals battle 1.67-3.10.
The thing with luck is it does run out eventually and I'm struggling to see anything but a Brighton victory if the Leicester we've seen all season show up here.
The Foxes have shipped 18.14 shots per game in the Premier League - the most of any team as their defence has been overworked. Double up Brighton to win and for them to have 16 or more shots at 13/8 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3
Ipswich vs Bournemouth, Sunday 2pm
An Ipswich centre-back is going to score soon - and I want to be on him when he does. Kieran McKenna has tried to make Ipswich more of a threat from set-pieces with the signings of Dara O'Shea and Jacob Greaves - two very dangerous centre-backs when it comes to attacking set-pieces.
It's showing signs of working as Town's centre-backs have had 24 shots between them to an expected-goals figure of 1.89 this season. With the wand of Leif Davis' left foot delivering the goods, one is coming.
Both O'Shea and Greaves are 14/1 to score anytime with Sky Bet - a couple of longshots to seriously consider.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Tottenham vs Chelsea, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports
Whether or not Chelsea are in this title race, there is no hiding from the fact they've won 13 of their last 19 Premier League games. This looks a brilliant time to play Tottenham too based on the schedule making life tough for Ange Postecoglou, who is under pressure now.
A key part of a manager now when managing the big clubs is rotating their squad to hopefully avoid injuries - some do it better than others. And Spurs are a team that picks up injuries and feels fatigue more than others.
This will be their fifth game in 15 days - it's been an intense run too against Man City, Roma, Fulham and Bournemouth.
Chelsea look one of the best bets of the weekend for the away win at 5/4 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Chelsea to beat Tottenham (5/4 with Sky Bet)
West Ham vs Wolves, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports
This is going to be hard to sell this bet - but I really like the under 2.5 goals line at 5/4 with Sky Bet. That is despite these two teams being horrendous defensively. Wolves have conceded 2.19 goals per game this calendar year and West Ham have shipped 2.15.
Of ever-present Premier League teams during that time, we are dealing with the worst two defences.
However, Gary O'Neil said after that Everton defeat: "I have to find a way to give the group a better chance on Monday night."
He was speaking about Wolves being unable to do the basics at Everton - all four goals came from set pieces. So reading between the lines, he's basically going to go 11 men behind the ball at the London Stadium and engage low-block mode in order to frustrate the Hammers, who won't be getting any sympathy from a disgruntled fanbase.
It could be a tough watch but that's absolutely fine if we're profiting from a low-scoring snooze-fest.
