Friday 24 June 2016 19:37, UK
Sky Sports pundit Charlie Nicholas provides his assessment of the main Euro 2016 contenders as we head into the final 16 without a clear favourite.
Hosts France currently head Sky Bet's outright market despite struggling in all three group games, while Spain and England's failure to win their groups has resulted in an interesting draw for the rest of the tournament.
That sees Belgium and Croatia now considered among the favourites, but do they really have what it takes to lift the trophy? Soccer Saturday's Nicholas looks at their credentials...
France (4/1 with Sky Bet)
No team has really lit up the tournament yet, with France particularly struggling, but when you are favourites and hosts the expectations are incredibly high.
France, for me, have enough quality options to see off the Republic of Ireland so I certainly see them making quarter-finals, but I don't think Didier Deschamps is bold enough for them to go all the way.
Deschamps doesn't know what his best team is still. They've got a lot of pace, an unpopular but effective Olivier Giroud, and they've kind of fallen on Dimitri Payet, while I'm not convinced by their defence. I think if anyone is backing them then, it's purely because of home advantage.
Germany (5/1 with Sky Bet)
Germany have weaknesses at the back as well, as do most teams in the competition, and they've also struggled in terms of strikers. Thomas Muller has had a really disappointing tournament and Mario Gotze has struggled, resulting in them turning to Mario Gomez.
I've backed Spain but Germany have looked the force ready to deliver. As a backer, you'd be more concerned if they started well because they always gradually build in these tournaments and they've got a great chance.
Spain (11/2 with Sky Bet)
Whoever comes through the tie between them and Italy will gain the mentality of knowing they're really ready for the rest of the competition.
Spain should have had the Croatia game dead and buried... why do you put Sergio Ramos on penalties? He's totally overrated for me and, having backed them pre-tournament, it annoys me that somebody like Cesc Fabregas wasn't allowed to step up, slot it home and leave me full of confidence with a favourable draw.
I'm still believing though, especially with Alvaro Morata on a roll and full of confidence. He's somebody I'd like Arsenal to sign and, while I'm not sure he's a top striker yet and still has a lot to learn, he's got a great chance of adding to his tally of three with the players he's got creating chances around him.
Belgium (11/2 with Sky Bet)
We get carried away with Belgium because we're used to seeing their stars, but they're not a tactically astute side.
They have what was arguably the best central-defence in the Premier League last season in Toby Alderweireld and Jan Vertonghen but even they've looked average, which is a reflection of the system.
They still haven't found a way to get the best out of Kevin de Bruyne and I'd like to see him moved inside into that number 10 role. I'm sure they'll see off Hungary but I've got major doubts over their ability to go much further.
Croatia (8/1 with Sky Bet)
I have no such doubts about Croatia as a team. I really do feel that they're on the cusp of something special.
This is a good technical side. They'll worry about Cristiano Ronaldo, who isn't playing great but obviously scored a couple of goals to get Portugal through, but if they can cut off the supply to him then I think they'll win comfortably.
England (10/1 with Sky Bet)
The problem Roy Hodgson faces is what he does with his changes now. I think he'll probably revert back to his previous XI with Jamie Vardy in instead of Raheem Sterling.
I think it's going to be another awkward game against Iceland and if they can't win it fairly comfortably they don't deserve to even be considered contenders.
If they struggle again then their belief will drain even more. You need to feel like you're good enough to beat the big teams by producing a good performance against the lesser sides at some stage.
Best of the rest
If I'm looking at the draw and trying to pick a side that can make the final then, other than Croatia, it's Poland (28/1) for me. They were my dark horses at the start of the tournament and the draw has opened up perfectly for them.
Italy (16/1) would be getting talked up a lot if they were in the other side of the draw after impressing in their opening two games. I don't think we can take anything from their performance against Ireland and I think they'll run Spain close.
As for Wales (28/1), they will fancy their chances against Northern Ireland with Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey but they'll need more in the later stages.
